Fews net somalia11/11/2023 The loss of livelihoods in rural areas continues to compel hundreds of thousands of people to seek assistance in displacement sites, where the dense concentration of displaced people exceeds the availability of water, sanitation, health, and nutrition services. Household survey data collected by FSNAU and partners in late October 2022 found that acute malnutrition among children under five is still affecting 19.8 to 24.5 percent of the rural and displaced populations in Baidoa, Burhakaba, and Mogadishu, while mortality levels have breached the Famine (IPC Phase 5) threshold among children under five among displaced populations in Baidoa and Mogadishu. Moreover, a sixth consecutive below-average rainfall season is forecast in April-June 2023, which would break yet another historical record for the longest drought sequence and further prolong the humanitarian catastrophe into late 2023.Īmid concurrent water scarcity and measles and cholera outbreaks, millions of households continue to face severe hunger and acute malnutrition and excess mortality levels remain elevated. The drought continues to result in rising levels of destitution and displacement, with over 1.3 million people displaced by drought since early 2021. The October-December 2022 deyr rains have performed 40-70 percent below average across large swaths of Somalia, resulting in a fifth consecutive season of poor-to-failed crop production and livestock losses in the areas most affected by drought. Nevertheless, the scale of the response is not keeping pace with the historic level of need amid the relentless 2.5-year drought, record-high staple food prices, persistent conflict and insecurity, and disease outbreaks. The scale of humanitarian interventions in Somalia currently exceeds that of any year of the past decade, reaching 5.8 million people with food assistance and 1.1 million people with acute malnutrition treatment and prevention assistance since January. The latest IPC analysis update – conducted by experts across multiple agencies, including FEWS NET and FSNAU – anticipates that up to 8.3 million people will need urgent humanitarian food assistance through at least mid-2023 in order to treat and prevent hunger and acute malnutrition and reduce the accumulation of ongoing, hunger-related deaths. Donor governments and humanitarians must act immediately to mitigate the acceleration of deaths and destitution in Bay Region and Mogadishu, at a minimum, and across Somalia more broadly. Furthermore, several other areas are assessed to face a risk of Famine in central and southern Somalia. The Famine (IPC Phase 5) thresholds are expected to be met during the April-June 2023 projection period based on currently available information that humanitarian food assistance will decline to minimal levels after March 2023 due to insufficient funds. After warnings of the likelihood of Famine (IPC Phase 5) were issued in September 2022, governments and humanitarians responded with a significant scale-up in assistance that has thus far prevented the minimum thresholds for Famine (IPC Phase 5) from being met however, food security outcomes remain very near the famine thresholds and high levels of acute malnutrition and hunger-related mortality, exacerbated by concurrent disease outbreaks, are still ongoing. These areas include rural areas in Baidoa and Burhakaba districts in Bay Region and settlements of internally displaced people (IDPs) in Baidoa and Mogadishu. Famine (IPC Phase 5) is projected to emerge in three areas in southern Somalia in April-June 2023 if current high levels of multi-sectoral humanitarian assistance are not sustained.
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